Thus, beaten the previous record price recorded at the end of August — beginning of September 2015. Then rice cereal in the wholesale segment cost an average of 47.1 thousand RUB./t. According to IKAR, this situation is due to the low inventory of raw, which may not be enough to start a new processing season. As previously reported southern rice Union (URS), the remains of paddy and rice in terms of raw in June on Kuban 82.7 thousand tons, which is the lowest figure for the last four years. The average monthly rate of decline of residues at the level of 60 thousand tons allows to predict that the stocks of domestic rice will be gone by early August.

Despite a good harvest in 2018, the quality indicators of raw left much to be desired due to adverse weather conditions in the ripening period, says Glazunov. As a result, the yield of cereals has decreased significantly. On the world market, in contrast, higher supplies and record stocks has led this season, the decrease in quotations of the largest world exporters. As a consequence of the Russian rice import became more expensive: for example, the average wholesale price of Vietnamese rice, according to IKAR, the 20th of June amounted to 44,9 thousand tons of Thai rice — 44,5 thousand RUB/t.

"In the short term it can cause increase in the import of rice to Russia", — said Glazunov. According to the FCS, in January-April of this year, imports of rice to Russia amounted to 77,6 thousand tons worth $36 million — 16% less than the same period last year. About 35% of the delivered volume (26,9 kt) had on India, 28% for Pakistan (21.5 thousand tons), 21% to Thailand (16.6 thousand tons).

However, according to Glazunov, already in late August — early September Russian crude harvest of 2019 will be supplied to the rice plants. The area sown to rice this year is estimated at 187-189 thousand hectares as against 181 thousand hectares last year. According to the operative data of the Ministry of agriculture on June 20, rice took 185,2 thousand hectares at the plan of 192,1 thousand hectares. the Main part of the crop is 125 thousand hectares — is in Krasnodar Krai, according to YURS. With an average yield of 73 t/ha gross harvest of rice in the region can be 910-920 thousand tons in bunker weight. Total gross harvest agriculture in the country in 2019, according to the Analytics of the company "Prozerno", can be equal to 1043 million tonnes, the Russian grain Union expects the harvest of rice, 1.1 million tons last year, according to Rosstat, it was assembled 1038 tons of paddy rice.

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