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Analysts continue to cut forecasts for grain harvest: "Prozerno" changed their assessment
Analytical company "Prozerno" following the analytical Center "Sovekon", the company Rusagrotrans, the Russian grain Union and Ikar has lowered the forecast of grain harvest in 2019, with 128 million tonnes to 123,8 million tons, said the "Agroinvestor" the CEO of the company Vladimir Petrichenko. Including evaluation of wheat reduced from 81 million tons to 76.3 million tonnes.
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"The adjustment primarily affected the North Caucasus Federal district, South-East of the Central district and South-West of the Volga. In these regions, was very good, the harvest is in may, but the drought in June — and it lasted three or four, and sometimes five weeks slammed on yields," said Petrichenko.

At the same time the forecast of barley production increased from 20 million tons to 20.3 million tons, corn — 13 million tonnes to 13.5 million tonnes. "Barley from the dry conditions also affected, but very good performance shows winter barley, although the total gross harvest its share is small," said petrychenko. As for corn, the crop can produce a good yield due to the passing in the first half of July rains.

According to the operative data of the Ministry of agriculture, to July 17, the country harvested 34.9 million tonnes of grain in bunker weight from the area of 9.4 million ha. Of these, 30.6 million tons account for wheat, the current yield which is 37.5 kg/ha, which is almost 3% below the level of last year on this date. "Now we are harvesting the fields in the South, which "burnt" as a result of drought conditions. Soon the mass harvesting campaign will start in the black soil region: in the whole Western and Northern black soil is expected good yields and it may change the situation," — says Petrichenko. To draw conclusions about the quality of the grain this season is still early, he warned. "While gathering in the South, the best quality compared to the previous year. But still unclear is the quality of the grain, which is in the Center and the Volga region after the recent rains," — said the expert.

 

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Translated by service "Yandex.Translation"
Источники: Grainboard
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