General Director of Agency "Prozerno" Vladimir Petrichenko, speaking during the conference, waits in Russia a good harvest. According to Century Petrichenko, autumn condition of winter crops in the country as a whole was bad. However, in winter "happened "South miracle", which can occur in warm years:
in the southern regions of the crops included in the vegetation already in the winter months, and the death of winter now should be not more than 10%, which corresponds to an average rate.
In the autumn of this figure was projected at 16%.
Medium-optimistic forecast of the gross grain harvest in 2015 in Russia from an expert is 97 million tons, including 55-56 million tons of wheat, 16.8 million tons of barley. In his view, the weather does not have to stop, because during El niño events affect droughts around the world, this season not show itself.
Alexander Korbut, Vice-President of the Russian Grain Union, was not so optimistic. In his opinion, remains too much uncertainty. The weather can make adjustments:
"...There is another important indicator of moisture meter soil layer, the reserves of which we still know very sketchy. In some districts of the Rostov region, the Volga region, in some areas of the earth in m layer of moisture almost none.
So if winter fine will come out of hibernation, in fact we may encounter soil drought, especially that early spring and warm"
- said Vice-President of the RGU.
The figure of the grain harvest in 97 or 100 million tonnes, said A. Korbut, achievable rather theoretically. In real life, under "ideal circumstances" may be collected 93-94 million tons, assuming that farmers will have access to all resources. This could be, if farmers had to purchase the necessary resources, including seeds and fertilizers, even before the December spike in prices. As the lower limit of the grain harvest in Russia Alexander Korbut called numbers close to 78 million tons:
"The Outlook 75-78 million tons - more likely, moderately pessimistic.
Although I have a feeling that less 78-82 million tons will not be",
- said Vice-President of the RGU.
However, according to Alexander Korbut, even under adverse circumstances, agrarians of Russia will be able to benefit. The lower shaft of grain will allow "at least to maintain strong rates that will allow you to create a Foundation for future development and to adapt to new economic conditions".
Translated by the service "Yandex.Translation"
