If it fails to achieve Federal reserve system (fed) through monetary policy, it will intervene the administration of U.S. President Donald trump, said the experts ' forecast for the fourth quarter of 2019 by global markets.

According to analysts, world economic growth has a negative pressure of a strong dollar and a shortage of dollar liquidity. Since April 2008, when he completed six years of a weakening dollar, the American currency has strengthened by 22% in real terms, says head of strategy, Saxo Bank in the stock market Peter Garne.

Speaking about the reasons for a strong dollar, a strategist at Saxo Bank, global macroeconomics Kay van-Petersen stressed that "the US economy is ahead of the rest of the world". "Although the fed started to cut rates, they will still gap is the biggest among developed countries, and many other countries reduce them one after another", — the expert specifies.

"His Majesty the dollar is about to collapse, predicts chief economist and investment officer at Saxo Bank Steen Jakobsen. In 2019, apparently, will be remembered as the beginning of the end the largest-ever monetary experiment that year, which began with the global recession, despite the low nominal and real interest rates".

Jacobsen believes that the fall of the dollar at the end of 2019 will benefit significantly asset markets — for example, gold. At the same time, in his opinion, the weakening of the American currency will help the international market, only to win some time, but not solve the problem structurally. It's the simplest workaround, facing the world markets, and with the least political resistance, concludes the analyst.

photo:

banki.ru

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