Our forecast that trading in the segment of gasoline in spite of the chaotic behavior in General show an upward trend, today confirmed. Deal with the gasoline in most refineries go up. Topped the list of Central refinery – Moscow and Yaroslavl, where prices have averaged about 200 R/t.

Here certainly impact the forthcoming repair of the Moscow refinery, which is already partially commenced the withdrawal process units for repairs, and not yesterday. If you look at the history of trading of gasoline on the basis of article Yanichkin, and the exchange is known to be quite fully reflects the participation of a refinery in the saturation of the domestic market with fuel, the reduced production of gasoline began in the first days of November.

In normal mode, the Moscow refinery implements 1 260 - 1 500 tn for one trading session. This amount is approximately 4.5% of the total daily volume of the exchange deals with automotive gasoline (an average of about 31 thousand tons). In November, the issue was reduced to 1 000 t/day, and from January up to 700 tons/day, almost twice.

If we turn to the performance of the Moscow oil refinery, its production volumes of gasoline of all brands and varieties are in normal operation 220 - 240 thousand tons per month. Of these, about 170 - 180 thousand tons monthly remain in the Moscow region. In February and March of 2017 Moscow plant according to the plans completely stop the production of gasoline.

This drop-down volume of about 170 - 180 thousand tons course will be supplemented by supplies from nearby refineries, but the prices are based on transport costs and transshipment tank farms, will be increased. It is impossible to identify the plug growth, but I guess the current behavior of prices at the nearby refinery already takes into account the factor of visiting the refinery.

In the segment of diesel fuel have created a trend in the decline of winter grades of fuel and a parallel growth of the prices of transactions with pre-season varieties. Like the law of communicating vessels buyers switch interest on purchases on purchases winter season diesel. Following the demand flow and price. This process has just begun and will continue until the end of February.