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Experts of the grain market changed the assessment of crop in Russia this year, no single dynamics
Experts of the grain market changed the assessment of crop in Russia this year, but hope not. Some, despite the low grain yield at the start of the harvest in southern regions once again increased the estimate of harvest given the favourable conditions in the regions of center and Volga region, others have begun to reduce the previously made predictions.
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As reported "Interfax" the General Director of "Prozerno" Vladimir Petrichenko, the forecast for grain harvest increased to 128,7 million tons with still 128,1 mln tons, including wheat - up to 78.3 million tonnes and 77.4 million tonnes. The yield of barley is estimated at 20.3 million tonnes, oats - 4.8 million tons, corn - 16.2 million tons.

"In the southern regions and the Crimea, showing the yield is lower than last year, forecasts reduced, the Volga region and Chernozem - in the black, there is moisture there, and the growing process is more favorable,' said Petrichenko. When these regions are actively involved in harvest, the overall situation will be corrected".

According to him, due to dry weather lowered and evaluation of the grain harvest in Siberia.

Increased the forecast and analytical center of JSC "Rusagrotrans".

As reported the head of the center Igor Pavensky, the average yield of grain increased by 0.3 million tonnes to 124.4 million tons, including wheat - by 0.7 million tonnes to 77.8 million tons. "The Outlook revision is associated with the data at the end of the planting season, in accordance with which the area under wheat was record - breaking 29 million ha since 1982, when it was planted 30.8 million hectares, he said. - At the same time increased the area under barley, corn, and reduced under other cereals".

Pavensky said that the new data formed by increasing assessments for the Central regions and the Volga region. The South as a whole, taking into account regions of South and North Caucasus districts, the forecast has not changed.

Meanwhile, as reported by the General Director of the Institute for agricultural market studies (IKAR) Dmitry Rylko, the crop forecast is reduced to 126 million tons from 128,5 million tonnes, wheat - up to 78 million tonnes with 79,5 million tons.

"In March, it was clear that the weather will affect the situation in the South, but that as much was not expected, he said. - Besides the heat problems started in the center and Volga region".

According to him, not all is well in Western Siberia, but in this region the weather factor already accounted for in the forecast.

According to the forecast of the Ministry of agriculture, the grain harvest this year will amount to 122,5 million tons 75 million tons of wheat against 121,2 million tons (74.5 million tonnes of wheat) in 2019.

The average yield of wheat in Russia by the end of last week, according to the Center for agrobaltika under the Ministry of agriculture, was 30.6 kg/ha to 41 kg/ha a year earlier. Yield to July 3 fell more than twice - up to 5 million tonnes from 11.9 million tonnes last year.

Translated by service "Yandex.Translation"
Источники: Зерно Он-Лайн
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